The study “Demographic forecasts in Riga, its surroundings and the interior of the Riga metropolis” took place within the framework of the development of the Riga Development Program for 2021–2027. Before developing the new Riga Development Program for 2021–2027, it is important to prepare demographic forecasts of Riga, its surroundings and the interior of the Riga metropolis, as they are needed to plan the provision of housing, municipal services (eg kindergartens and schools), jobs, etc. tasks. The task of the research was to ensure that the settings and indicators to be included in the Riga Development Program for 2021–2027 would be based on the current and forecasted trends. As the previous study “Demographic Forecasts in Riga and Pieriga” was conducted in 2012, it was possible to use the latest demographic and migration trends in the latest study.
The aim of the study is to develop demographic forecasts in Riga, its surroundings and the interior of the Riga metropolis for 2030 and 2050, as well as to develop an understanding of the profile of potential residents in Riga in 2030 and 2050.
In order to achieve this goal, the following tasks were set:
- to prepare variants of the demographic forecast (including by gender and age groups) in Riga, its surroundings and in the interior of the Riga metropolis;
- to develop the active or target variant, if the set of all influencing factors would lead only to changes in all types of population movement promoting the recovery of the demographic situation.
As a result of the research, demographic forecasts were prepared in Riga, its surroundings and in the interior of the Riga metropolis for 2030 and 2050, including changes in the age and gender structure.